Monday, August 27, 2007

More than a Year of Inventory in OC RE Market

Steve Thomas at Remax Real Estate in Aliso Viejo calculates Orange County now has 12.2 months of inventory of homes currently on the market. Inventory numbers are certainly very high compared to the last two years, but the real culprit here seems to be a collapse in OC housing demand.

The following areas have inventories of less than ten months: Anaheim Hills, Brea, Canyon Areas, Cypress, Foothill Ranch, Huntington Beach, Laguna Woods, Mission Viejo, Rancho Santa Margarita and Seal Beach.

The following areas have inventories greater than fourteen months: Anaheim, Corona Del Mar, Dove Canyon, Garden Grove, Laguna Hills, La Habra, Lake Forest, Portola Hills, San Clemente, San Juan, Santa Ana, Talega, Tustin, Villa Park and all ranges above $2 million.

Read more here.

Very interesting analysis, to be sure...then out of nowhere, Steve suggests that it's probably a good time to buy and even employs the tired, noisome 'get off the fence' metaphor. With home sales as sluggish as they are, I can understand the need to drum up some business...but come on, Steve. Are you buying real estate right now, my friend?

Honest to God, every time I hear an RE agent try to explain why they think it's a good time to buy, well, I feel a bit like Brian in this classic snip of Family Guy:



graphrix said...

I had to check to see if you had posted anything lately. Well I'm glad you did. This is really starting to turn out the way we had said. The only thing is I actually think it might be worse than I thought.

I know you visit IHB but I dont know if you have been in the forums. Hopefully you have because there has been some good stuff posted by me and the like.

We even have a chat now. I know you said that you were done as it finally had turned but it is still good to discuss the topic amongst other great minds.

HB Bear said...


It is turning out exactly the way we said it would. I've been around IHB and it looks great!

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